Why didn’t the United States act sooner to counter China’s rise? This compelling book unpacks a key puzzle in post-Cold War foreign policy, arguing that a permissive international environment—not just domestic politics—shaped US inaction. At the turn of the 21st century, a relatively peaceful order and the prioritization of economic concerns gave space for strategic hesitation, while a foreign-policy consensus was undermined by divided perceptions of China’s intentions. In explaining these dynamics, Michiel Foulon introduces a powerful new theory of grand strategy change which offers fresh insight into how global conditions influence decision-making. Essential reading for scholars of international relations, security studies and anyone seeking to understand the shifting balance of power in the today’s world.
Michiel Foulon is Guest Professor at the Department of Political Science at the University of Antwerp, Belgium.
Introduction1. A Theory of Grand Strategy Change2. Permissiveness in the Asia-Pacific, 1991-20103. Perception and Power in Permissiveness4. The US’ China Strategy of Luxury5. Restrictiveness in the Asia-Pacific, 2011-20226. Perception and Power in Restrictiveness7. The US’ China Strategy of Constrained Balancing Conclusion