Uncertainty in Global Politics

Miriam Matejova is Assistant Professor in Political Science at Masaryk University and Fellow at Norman Paterson School of International Affairs, Carleton University. Her co-authored book Disaster Security: Using Intelligence and Military Planning for Energy and Environmental Security Risks was published with Cambridge University Press.Anastasia Shesterinina is Chair in Comparative Politics, UKRI Future Leaders Fellow, and Director of the Centre for the Comparative Study of Civil War at the University of York. Her book Mobilizing in Uncertainty: Collective Identities and War in Abkhazia was published with Cornell University Press.

• 1 Introduction: Approaches to Uncertainty in Global Politics PART I. Uncertainty and Ordinary People 2 Beyond “Bluffing”: The Weaponization of Uncertainty in Russia’s War Against Ukraine 3 “Politics of Uncertainty” in Practice: The Belarusian 2020 Presidential Election PART II. Uncertainty and the State 4 Arming up in Uncertainty: Congressional Response to Missile Defense Test Failures 5 “Why Didn’t They See It Coming?” Ground-level Diplomats, Foreign Policy, and Unconstitutional Regime Change PART III. Uncertainty in International Policy and Law 6 Legal Uncertainty and the Making of Maritime Boundaries 7 Governing Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Change in Science-Policy Interfaces and Gender-Specific Effects in Europe 8 Whitewashing Green Swans: Sustainable Finance and the Epistemic Foundations of Policy Paradigms PART IV. Uncertainty at the Global Level 9 Uncertainty and Fiji’s Role in Shifting Norms on State-led Responses to Climate Mobilities 10 Uncertain Uncertainty in Global Disaster Diplomacy 11 Orbital Uncertainty and the Governance of Outer Space Activities 12 Anticipatory Norm-building and the (Un)Making of Uncertainty: The Norm against Autonomous Weapons Systems PART V. Embracing Uncertainty in IR Research 13 Studying Global Politics in Adverse Conditions: The Uncertainty Spectrum 14 Making Friends with Uncertainty: Hopeful Futurities in Telling Stories about Global Politics 15 Conclusion: Responses to Uncertainty in Global Politics