Routledge Handbook of Economic Expectations in Historical Perspective

Laetitia Lenel is Professor of Economic History of the Economic at the University of Duisburg-Essen. Her research brings together the study of economic knowledge practices and economic history. She investigates the history of business forecasting and how societies have grappled with economic turbulence, among other topics.Alexander Nützenadel is Professor of Economic and Social History at Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin. He has published books and articles on the history of economic expectations, banking history, and economic populism.Jochen Streb is Professor of Economic History at the University of Mannheim. His research focuses on historical patent activities in Germany since 1877. He is also an expert on the economic history of the Third Reich and the emergence of social security systems.Ingo Köhler is the Director of the Hessian Economic Archives in Darmstadt, Germany, and an Adjunct Professor of Economic and Social History at the University of Göttingen. His research focuses on business history, marketing history, and corporate resilience studies.

• List of FiguresList of TablesList of Contributors01. IntroductionLaetitia Lenel/ Jochen Streb/ Alexander Nützenadel/Ingo KöhlerPART I Approaches and Debates02. The Rise of the Rational Expectations HypothesisPedro Garcia Duarte03. A Short History in Defense of Adaptive LearningStefano Eusepi/Bruce Preston04. Bounded Rationality, Beliefs, and BehaviorSebastian Schweighofer-Kodritsch05. Narratives, Representations, and ExpectationsDavid Tuckett06. Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional ForecastersChristian Conrad/Kajal Lahiri07. Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households: How they are Formed and their Role in Economic ChoicesMichael Weber/Francesco D’Acunto08. Contingent ExpectationsAlexander Nützenadel/Jochen Streb09. From Data to Expectations in MacroeconomicsJörg Döpke/Ulrich Fritsche10. On FIRE, News, and ExpectationsZeno Enders/Benjamin Born/ Gernot Müller11. Economic Expectations and an AI AgentEkaterina Svetlova PART II Practices and Determinants of Expectation Management and Coordination12. Central Bank Communication with the General PublicLena Dräger13. Narratives and the MediaHenrik Müller14. Civil Jurisdiction and RegulationLouis Pahlow15. Beyond Expectations. Consultants as the Modern- Day OracleMatthias Kipping/Sebastian Schöttler16. Economic ForecastingLaetitia Lenel/Werner Reichmann17. Market Research as a Strategy of Corporate Expectation ManagementIngo Köhler/Jan Logemann18. Public Numbers: the Politics of Quantification and Relational ExpectationsTiago Mata PART III Expectation Formation Across Time and Space19. Cultures of Uncertainty and Economic ExpectationsEelke de Jong20. Expectation Formation in Pre-Modern EuropeAngela Huang/Mark Spoerer21. Uncertainty and Innovation: New Perspectives from Nineteenth-Century Patenting BehaviorLaura Magazzini/Alessandro Nuvolari/Michelangelo Vasta22. Expectations in the History of Consumption, c.1500 to the PresentFrank Trentmann23. Saving Behavior in the Nineteenth and Twentieth CenturiesJan-Otmar Hesse/Sebastian Knake/Sibylle Lehmann-Hasemeyer24. Demographic Decision-Making Under UncertaintyTimothy Guinnane/Jochen Streb25. Entrepreneurial Expectations in Colonial and Postcolonial ContextsMarie Huber/Nina Kleinöder/Jonathan Krautter26. African Entrepreneurs and the Economic Expectation Question: A Transhistorical SurveyMoses Ochonu PART IV Expectation Formation in Times of Crisis27. An Unexpected Crisis of ExpectationsMary O’Sullivan 28. Expectation Formation in (Potential) Sovereign Debt CrisesLaura Rischbieter29. Monetary Shocks. Business Expectations at the Beginning and End of Two Gold-Based Currency Regimes in the 1870s and 1970sJan-Otmar Hesse/Sebastian Teupe30. Sovereign Expectations: Theory and History in the Financial Shocks and Crises of the 1970s and 1980sSebastian Alvarez and Catherine Schenk31. Government-Made House Price Bubbles? Austerity, Homeownership, Rental and Credit Liberalization Policies, and “Irrational Exuberance” on Housing MarketsKonstantin A. Kholodilin/Sebastian Kohl/Florian Müller32. The Politics of Expectations in Local Government: (De-)Financialization Processes in the US and GermanyFlorian Fastenrath/Agnes Janssen/ Christine Trampusch33. Expectation Formation in the Coronavirus PandemicJonas Dovern/Fabian KrügerIndex