• Preface; Acknowledgements; Figures; Tables; 1. Outcomes and Value Uncertainty in Environmental Policy; Part One: Outcome Uncertainty: Stratospheric Ozone Depletion; 2. The Policy Problem 3. Probability-Based Scenarios 4. The Distribution of the Score Function 5. Subjective Marginal Probability Distributions for Potential Ozone Depleters 6. Production and Emission Scenarios 7. Conclusions 8. Timing Responses to Potential Stratospheric Ozone Depletion 9. The Decision Framework 10. Results and Sensitivity Analysis 11. Conclusions; Part Two: Value Uncertainty: Food-Borne Risk; 12. Valuing Health Risks 13. Choosing Among Potentially Hazardous Floods 14. Willingness to Pay for Organically Grown Foods 15. Avoided Risk 16. Willingness to Pay for Risk Reductions 17. Conclusions; Part Three: Extensions: Global Climate Change; 18. Applying the Tools to Potential Climate Change; Notes; Bibliography

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