Politics and Science of Prevision

Andreas Wenger is Professor of International and Swiss Security Policy and Director of the Center for Security Studies (CSS) at ETH Zurich, Switzerland.Ursula Jasper is the Policy Officer at Fondation Botna in Switzerland. Prior to this she worked for many years as a Senior Researcher at the Center for Security Studies at ETH Zurich, Switzerland. Myriam Dunn Cavelty is Deputy Head of Research and Teaching at the Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich, Switzerland.

• Part I: Introduction 1. Governing and Probing the Future: The Politics and Science of Prevision Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty Part II: Academic Perspectives on Future-Oriented Policy-Making 2. Imagined Worlds: The Politics of Future-Making in the 21st Century Sheila Jasanoff 3. How to Know the Future – and the Past (and How Not): A Pragmatist Perspective on Foresight and Hindsight Gunther Hellmann 4. Future Thinking and Cognitive Distortions: Key Questions that Guide Forecasting Processes Michael C. Horowitz 5. Thinking Historically: A Guide for Policy Francis J. Gavin 6. From Predicting to Forecasting: Uncertainties, Scenarios and their (Un-)Intended Side Effects Myriam Dunn Cavelty Part III: Empirical Perspectives across Policy Fields 7. Uncertainty and Precariousness at the Policy-Science Interface: Three Cases of Climate-Driven Adaptation Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk 8. The Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health Ursula Jasper 9. Crisis, What Crisis? Uncertainty, Risk, and Financial Markets Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson 10. Imagining Future Biothreats: The Role of Popular Culture Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer 11. Forecasting Civil War and Political Violence Corinne Bara 12. Predicting Nuclear Weapons Proliferation Jonas Schneider 13. ‘We Do that Once per Day’: Cyclical Futures and Institutional Ponderousness in Predictive Policing Matthias Leese Part IV: Conclusion 14. The Politics and Science of the Future: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy and Governance Andreas Wenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jasper