JUNE TEUFEL DREYER Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science, University of Miami, USATAI-CHUN KUO Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, USARAMON H. MYERS Senior Fellow and Consultant to the East Asian Archives, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, USAALAN D. ROMBERG Senior Associate and Director of the China Program, Henry L. Stimson Centre, USACHI SU Professor, Graduate Institute of China Studies, Tamkang University, TaiwanJIANN-FA YAN Associate Professor, Ching-yun Institute of Technology, TaiwanANDREW NIEN-DZU YANG National Sun Yat-sen University, TaiwanBIN YU Associate Professor of Political Science, Wittenburg University, USASUISHENG ZHAO Professor, Graduate School of International Studies, University of Denver, USA

• Preface and Acknowledgements War or Peace Across the Taiwan Strait; S.Tsang Structure and Process Behind Beijing's Policy Towards Taiwan; B.Yu Driving Forces Behind Taipei's Mailand Policy; C.Su China's Bottom Line and Incentives for a Peaceful Solution; S.Zhao Taiwan's Bottom Line; J-F.Yan The Role of the United States in Seeking a Peaceful Solution; A.D.Romberg China's Ability to use Force and its Calculations; J.T.Dreyer The Alternative to Peace: War Scenarios; A.N-D.Yang Peace Proposal One: The China Commonwealth Model; T-C.Kuo & R.H.Myers Peace Proposal Two: The Chinese Union Model; S.Tsang

JUNE TEUFEL DREYER Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science, University of Miami, USATAI-CHUN KUO Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, USARAMON H. MYERS Senior Fellow and Consultant to the East Asian Archives, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, USAALAN D. ROMBERG Senior Associate and Director of the China Program, Henry L. Stimson Centre, USACHI SU Professor, Graduate Institute of China Studies, Tamkang University, TaiwanJIANN-FA YAN Associate Professor, Ching-yun Institute of Technology, TaiwanANDREW NIEN-DZU YANG National Sun Yat-sen University, TaiwanBIN YU Associate Professor of Political Science, Wittenburg University, USASUISHENG ZHAO Professor, Graduate School of International Studies, University of Denver, USA

• Preface and Acknowledgements War or Peace Across the Taiwan Strait; S.Tsang Structure and Process Behind Beijing's Policy Towards Taiwan; B.Yu Driving Forces Behind Taipei's Mailand Policy; C.Su China's Bottom Line and Incentives for a Peaceful Solution; S.Zhao Taiwan's Bottom Line; J-F.Yan The Role of the United States in Seeking a Peaceful Solution; A.D.Romberg China's Ability to use Force and its Calculations; J.T.Dreyer The Alternative to Peace: War Scenarios; A.N-D.Yang Peace Proposal One: The China Commonwealth Model; T-C.Kuo & R.H.Myers Peace Proposal Two: The Chinese Union Model; S.Tsang

JUNE TEUFEL DREYER Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science, University of Miami, USATAI-CHUN KUO Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, USARAMON H. MYERS Senior Fellow and Consultant to the East Asian Archives, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, USAALAN D. ROMBERG Senior Associate and Director of the China Program, Henry L. Stimson Centre, USACHI SU Professor, Graduate Institute of China Studies, Tamkang University, TaiwanJIANN-FA YAN Associate Professor, Ching-yun Institute of Technology, TaiwanANDREW NIEN-DZU YANG National Sun Yat-sen University, TaiwanBIN YU Associate Professor of Political Science, Wittenburg University, USASUISHENG ZHAO Professor, Graduate School of International Studies, University of Denver, USA

• Preface and Acknowledgements War or Peace Across the Taiwan Strait; S.Tsang Structure and Process Behind Beijing's Policy Towards Taiwan; B.Yu Driving Forces Behind Taipei's Mailand Policy; C.Su China's Bottom Line and Incentives for a Peaceful Solution; S.Zhao Taiwan's Bottom Line; J-F.Yan The Role of the United States in Seeking a Peaceful Solution; A.D.Romberg China's Ability to use Force and its Calculations; J.T.Dreyer The Alternative to Peace: War Scenarios; A.N-D.Yang Peace Proposal One: The China Commonwealth Model; T-C.Kuo & R.H.Myers Peace Proposal Two: The Chinese Union Model; S.Tsang