Overcoming Pakistan’s Nuclear Dangers

Mark Fitzpatrick is Director of the Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Before joining the Institute in 2005, he spent 26 years as a US diplomat. He is the author of The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: Avoiding worst-case outcomes (Routledge for IISS, 2008).

• Acknowledgements -- Glossary and acronyms -- Introduction -- Chapter One Pakistan's nuclear programme -- Beginnings -- Uranium enrichment -- Plutonium production -- Warheads -- Delivery systems -- Nuclear policy -- No intention to operationalise Nasr -- Monetary costs -- Civilian nuclear sector -- Chapter Two The potential for nuclear use -- India-Pakistan conflicts in the nuclear age -- Assessment -- Chapter Three The potential for a nuclear arms race -- Pakistan's motivations for TNWs -- Destabilising impact of TNWs -- Strain on command and control -- Nuclearisation of the sea -- Impact on CTBT and FMCT -- NATO analogies -- Chapter Four The potential for nuclear terrorism -- Defining nuclear terrorism -- Presence of terrorist groups -- Terrorist interest in nuclear weapons -- Western assessments -- Nuclear-security measures -- Paranoia about the US -- Potential for insider collusion -- Transport vulnerability -- Comparison with India and other countries -- Assessment -- Chapter Five The potential for onward prolife ration and for nuclear accidents -- Onward proliferation -- Nuclear transfer to Saudi Arabia? -- Nuclear safety risks -- Conclusion -- Nuclear normalisation – Index.

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