Next War

Timothy Andrews Sayle is associate professor of History at the University of Toronto and a senior fellow of the Bill Graham Centre for Contemporary International History. He has published widely in the field of international history, including books, edited collections and articles on NATO, Canadian external affairs, nuclear history and the history of intelligence.

• Introduction: The War of 196? Indications of the Third World War The Last War Section 1: Imminence of War Chapter 1: A Third World War in the Making?Partner or Prophylactic? World War Three?Toward a Shared Appreciation The Cold War BeginsFirst Try The Importance of Combined Intelligence US-Canadian Differences US-Canadian AgreementJIC 1 (Final) An American Attack? Conclusion Chapter 2: Agreed Intelligence The Threat to North America War Planning ACAI (American-Canadian Agreed Intelligence)Towards ABC Intelligence The First and Last ABCI Conference ABCI 15 Part I of ABCI 15 Putting ABCI Part 1 to Use Aftermath Soviet Intentions A Fresh Start Chapter 3: The Most Important QuestionThe Greatest Danger The Meaning of Korea Now or Later The Politics of Danger The Canadian View from Abroad The End of ImminenceFrom "Imminence" to "Risks" The Likelihood of War Comparison with the US & UKEvidence The World Turns Section 2: Indications of War Chapter 4: The Origins of Indications Intelligence US Origins, 1948-1950 United Kingdom and Canada (1950-53) A Model for Americans and Canadians (1953-54) Chapter 5: The Tripartite Intelligence Alerts Agreement Injecting Words of Caution A Canadian Indications Room Waiting for an American Response Bilaterals and Trilaterals Building an Indications Room in Ottawa Agreement Chapter 6: The Alerts Agreement in Action Communications Issues How to and When to Invoke the Agreement Building a Canadian Indications Room, Part 2 The Canadians Want to Go Global Setting the Indicator List The Crisis of 1958The First ALE Message The Berlin Crises, and the Broken Cables The Canadian Indications Procedure The Cuban Missile Crisis Conclusion: A Semi-Dormant but Continuing Agreement Bibliography Acknowledgements End Notes Index