New Order in the Gulf

The Rise of the UAE

Inbunden, Engelska, 2023

AvDina Esfandiary,Belgium) Esfandiary, Dina (International Crisis Group

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For over a decade now, thinking on regional relations in the Gulf has focused on the competition for regional hegemony between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Today, this perspective is outdated. The smaller Gulf Arab states, led by the United Arab Emirates, are calling for their own goals and interests to be considered and a new regional order has emerged. This book asesses the UAE’s increasing power and the future challenges to security it poses. It is a contemporary history and analysis of the changing role of the UAE. Dina Esfandiary argues that the UAE has become more assertive in the pursuit of its own interests in the region and beyond - even when this puts it at odds with its regional allies. This behavior includes the build-up of its military and non-military capabilities, the diversification of its partners, and its willingness to use these resources. The book examines the regional causes of the UAE’s growing assertiveness - especially the 2011 Arab Uprisings – as well as the international context such as the impact of the US-announced ‘Pivot to Asia’, the perceptions of waning US power in the Middle East, and the 2015 nuclear deal. The UAE’s changing role in the region will profoundly affect regional security. This book points towards how smaller states in the region will interact with regional hegemons in the long term, as they learn from the UAE’s assertiveness and seek to imitate it.

Produktinformation

Utgivningsdatum2023-01-26
Mått146 x 218 x 18 mm
Vikt380 g
FormatInbunden
SpråkEngelska
Antal sidor200
FörlagBloomsbury Publishing PLC
ISBN9780755645794

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Dina Esfandiary is Senior Advisor in the Middle East and North Africa department of the International Crisis Group (ICG), Belgium. She worked previously at The Century Foundation, U.S and the Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center, U.S. She is the co-author of Triple-Axis: Iran’s Relations with Russia and China (I.B Tauris, 2018) and Living on the Edge: Iran and the?Practice of Nuclear Hedging (2016). She has also published in Foreign Affairs, The Atlantic, The Guardian, The Washington Post, The New York Times among others.

IntroductionDefining the change and situating it in the context of a rapidly changing regionHistorical overview of relations between states in the Persian Gulf, including the 2003-2011 periodA discussion of domestic dynamics in the UAE: the rise of MBZChapter One: The Arab Uprisings: a key moment for the UAESummary of the eventsAn Arab Uprisings in the Persian Gulf?The impact of the Arab Uprisings on the UAECollapse of Arab powerhousesThe Perceived Rise of IranThe Perception of US influence and Power in the RegionChanges in the region following the Arab UprisingsChapter Two: The US Pivot to Asia: proof of a US departure from the regionThe History of the US presence in the Persian Gulf regionThe PivotThe impact of the Pivot on the regionChapter Three: The Iran nuclear deal: the final strawThe deal itselfThe Gulf Arabs and the Iran nuclear crisisThe impact of the deal on the UAEChapter Four: The UAE’s Assertiveness – what does it look like?Growing capabilitiesMilitaryPolitical and diplomatic cloutEconomic and Cultural influenceIntent, including the UAE’s deployment in regional arenasChapter Five: Assertiveness: The UAE’s perception of successCase Study: YemenPost 2020: Emirati over-reach?Chapter Six: The impact of the UAE’s assertiveness for the Persian Gulf: The 2017 splitDriven by the UAEEntrenchment of assertiveness for othersDid Al Ula resolve the dispute?Conclusion and recommendations for the West