Navigating Uncertainty

Brendan Vickers is Economic Adviser in the International Trade Policy Section of Trade, Oceans and Natural Resources at the Commonwealth Secretariat, London. Sangeeta Khorana is Professor of Economics at Bournemouth University, UK.

• Abbreviations and AcronymsChapter 1. Introductionby Sangeeta Khorana and Brendan VickersChapter 2. ‘Global Britain’, trade and development: Issues and priorities post-Brexit by Brendan Vickers2.1 Introduction 2.2 Brexit implications for developing countries 2.3 The UK’s trade regime for developing countries 2.4 Towards development-friendly trade post-Brexit 2.5 Trade preference options for non-LDC developing countries 2.6 Brexit, the UK and Commonwealth trade 2.7 Conclusions Chapter 3. Trade and regulation in relations with the EU and third countries after Brexit by Peter Holmes3.1 Introduction 3.2 Customs union, customs agreement or FTA? 3.3 Prospects for an FTA with the EU: Deep or shallow? 3.4 Deals with third countries 3.5 What would a ‘Trump Atlantic’ trade agreement be like? 3.6 Interim arrangements? 3.7 Conclusions Postscript Chapter 4. Brexit and Global Value Chains: The costs of transition to new trade governance structures by Jodie Keane4.1 Introduction4.2 The role of the UK within Factory EU 4.3 Moving further than the EU Chapter 5. The impact of Brexit on global value chains and trade governance by Louise Curran 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Trade preferences and GVCs: Potential impacts of change 5.3 Negotiating FTAs: Prioritising depth or speed? 5.4 Highlighting vulnerabilities: Dependence on UK preferential trade 5.5 Conclusion Chapter 6. Be Prepared: Trade Policy Research for Brexit by Christopher Stevens and Jane Kennan 6.1 Introduction 6.2 The research problem: the two big unknowns 6.3 The research approach 6.4 Conclusions Chapter 7. Conclusion and way forward by Brendan Vickers and Sangeeta Khorana