Macroeconomic Patterns and Stories

Häftad, Engelska, 2010

AvEdward E. Leamer

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Suppose, for example, that a student cannot tell anything about the content, and the content score is simply a random number, varying from student to student. As the average course content score is about the same for every course, it is the amusement score that will drive the rankings.

Produktinformation

Utgivningsdatum2010-10-14
Mått155 x 235 x 21 mm
Vikt569 g
FormatHäftad
SpråkEngelska
Antal sidor360
FörlagSpringer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. KG
ISBN9783642079757

Tillhör följande kategorier

Matematisk statistik inom Naturvetenskap och teknik
Nationalekonomi inom Ekonomi och Ledarskap
Makroekonomi inom Ekonomi och Ledarskap
Mikroekonomi inom Ekonomi och Ledarskap

Introduction: We Are Pattern-Seeking, Story-Telling Animals.- Four Key Variables: Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Interest Rates.- Gross Domestic Product.- The Components of GDP: C+I+G+X?M.- Employment.- Inflation and Interest Rates.- Extrapolative Forecasting.- A Recession Symptoms.- Unwanted Idleness: Recessions and Recoveries.- Recession Comparison Charts.- Who Struggles and Who Does Well in Recessions?.- B Recession Stories.- Idleness Stories.- Cycle Stories.- C Recession Early Warning Signs.- Clues: Temporal Ordering of Components of GDP.- More Clues: Episodic Forecasting with Components of Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators.- D Recession Causes.- The Art of Drawing Causal Inferences from Nonexperimental Data.- In Search of Recession Causes.- Expansions: With and Without Spurts.- The Life Cycle of US Expansions: Sputters and Spurts.- The Longer Run: Savings, Investment, Government Borrowing, Foreign Lending and Your Home.- Savings and Investment.- Government.- The External Deficit and the Value of the Dollar Hu's in Charge?.- The Ups and Downs of Real Estate Values: Can You Rely on Your Home To Pay For Your Retirement?.

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