Machine Learning Techniques to Predict Terrorist Attacks

Laura Mostert is an officer in the Royal Netherlands Air Force with a background in war studies and cyber security governance.Roy Lindelauf is the Chair Data Science in Military Operations at Faculty of Military Sciences at Netherlands Defence Academy and an Endowed Chair Data Science for Safety, Security at the Department of Cognitive Science & Artificial Intelligence at Tilburg School of Humanities and Digital Sciences. He is also Head of Data Science Center of Excellence at Netherlands Ministry of Defence. Chiara Pulice is a Senior Research Associate in computer science with Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, USA. Her research interests include counter-terrorism and machine learning. She received the Ph.D. degree in computer and systems engineering from the University of Calabria, Cosenza, Italy, in 2015.Marnix Provoost is an active duty officer in the Royal Netherlands Army. He holds a Master’s degree in Military Strategic Studies and is currently positioned at the Netherlands Defence Academy as a fulltime PhD student. His research is focused on insurgencies and their analogies with state formation.Priyanka Amin has recently finished her undergraduate degree in computer science and global history at Northwestern University.V.S. Subrahmanian is the Walter P. Murphy Professor of Computer Science and Buffett Faculty Fellow in the Buffett Institute for Global Affairs at Northwestern University where he also heads the Northwestern Security & AI Lab. He is one of the world’s foremost experts at the intersection of AI and Security matters ranging from counterterrorism to cybersecurity to border issues and warfare. An elected Fellow of AAAI and AAAS, he has previously served as Director of the Institute for Security, Technology, and Society at Dartmouth College and as Director of the University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer Studies.

• Chapter 1 Introduction.- Chapter 2 Jama'at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM).- Chapter 3 Temporal Probabilistic Rules and Policy Computation Algorithms.- Chapter 4 Abduction and Release of Abductees.- Chapter 5 Attacks on and Targeting of Public Sites.- Chapter 6 Targeting of Security Professionals and Security Installations.- Chapter 7 Targeting of Civilians.- Chapter 8 Other types of attacks.- Chapter 9 Reflections & Implications for military decision making.