Judgment, Decision-making and Success in Sport

Michael Bar-Eli is the Nat Holman Chair in Sports Research at the Guilford Glazer School of Business and Management and Head of the Management Studies program at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev in Israel. He is also Senior Vice President of the Asian-South Pacific Association of Sport Psychology. Henning Plessner is Professor of Social Psychology at the University of Leipzig. His main research areas are Judgment and Decision-Making in sports and the psychology of intuition.Markus Raab is Department Head of Performance Psychology at the German Sport University Cologne. He is Editor of the German Journal of Sport Psychology, Section Editor of the International Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology, and Editorial Board Member of Psychology of Sport and Exercise.

• Preface viiJudgement and Decision Making as a Topic of Sport Science 1Maximization and optimization in sport 3JDM history 4The development of JDM research in sport 6Rationale and structure of this book 10Theories of (Social) Judgement 13Psychophysics 16Social judgement theory 18Social cognition 19Summary 25Theories of Decision Making 27Subjective expected utility theory 31Prospect theory 32Decisional field theory 33Simple heuristic approach 35Summary 37Expertise in JDM 39What are the components of expertise in JDM? 42How can we measure JDM expertise? 43How can we explain JDM expertise? 46How can we develop JDM expertise? 47Summary 48Athletes 51Judging one’s own performance 53What choices are athletes confronted with? 59How do athletes choose? 66JDM training for athletes 78Summary 89Managers and Coaches 91JDM as a leadership task 93Managerial JDM 95Coaches’ JDM 108Summary 121Referees 123The tasks of referees 126Perceptual limitations 127Prior knowledge 132Rules of information integration 136Improving referees’ JDM 139Summary 143Observers 145Biases in judgements of sport performance 148Predictions and betting 154Summary 160References 163Author Index 189Subject Index 201