If Russia Wins

Carlo Masala is Professor for International Politics at the Bundeswehr University Munich. He previously worked as Deputy Director in the research department at the NATO Defence College in Rome. Since January 2024, Masala has been Director of the Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies at the University of the Federal Armed Forces in Munich. He received the Lichtenberg Medal in Gold from the Lower Saxony Academy of Sciences in Göttingen in 2023 for his academic work and science communication. If Russia Wins was an immediate #1 bestseller upon publication in Germany, and has since become a bestseller in the Netherlands.

• Introduction: Introduction 1: Narva, Estonia: 27 March 2028 2: Palais des Nations, Geneva: Three years earlier 3: Europe and the United States: A wind of change 4: Russia: A thaw in Moscow? 5: Ukraine: A country in chaos 6: Brussels: Limited defence capabilities 7: Moscow: Strategy 8: Kidal, Mali: 2 February 2028: The game is on 9: Brussels: 5 February 2028: Europe takes the bait 10: South China Sea: 28 February 2028: Help from an ally 11: Seattle: 27 March 2028, 01:00 UTC 12: Berlin: 27 March 2028, 02:20 UTC 13: Berlin: 27 March 2028, 06:30 UTC 14: Moscow: 27 March 2028, 07:00 UTC 000 15: NATO Headquarters, Brussels: 27 March 2028, 12:00 UTC 16: The White House, Washington, DC: 27 March 2028, 12:15 UTC 17: 80° 49' 35.2? N, 66° 27' 12.5? W: 28 March 2028, 10:27 UTC 18: NATO Headquarters, Brussels: 28 March 2028, 14:00 UTC 19: Rzhev, Russia: 29 March 2028, 07:00 UTC 20: Moscow and Beijing: 30 March 2028: A new centre Afterword: Afterword

What makes Masala's scenario so compelling - and unnerving - is that it is so plausible