• Part I Structure-Based Theories of War 1. System structure, decision processes, and the incidence of international war 2. Long cycles and global war 3. Heirachical equilibria and the long-run instability of multipolar systems 4. Power cycle theory of systems structure and stability: commonalities and complementaries 5. The logic and study of the diffusion of international conflict Part II Minimally Dyadic Theories of War 6. The contribution of expected-utility theory to the study of international conflict 7. The power transition: A retrospective and prospective evaluation 8. Arms races, the conflict spiral, the onset of war 9. Richarsonian arms race models Part III State-centered theories of war 10. Public opinion and national security policy: relationships and impacts 11. The diversionary theory of war: a critique 12. Lateral pressure in international relations

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