Forecasting, Planning and Strategy in a Turbulent Era

Edited by Vasileios Bougioukos, Associate Professor in Economics and Finance, Richmond, American University London and Adjunct Associate Professor in Economics and Finance, Notre Dame London, The University of Notre Dame (USA) in England, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos, Professor in Business Information Systems & Analytics, Department of Management and Marketing, Durham University and Christos Tsinopoulos, Professor, Chair in Operations and Project Management, Executive Dean of School Business and Management, Department of Information and Operations Management, Royal Holloway University of London, UK

• ContentsIntroduction to Forecasting, Planning and Strategy in a Turbulent Era 1Vasileios Bougioukos, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and ChristosTsinopoulos1 Evaluating the success of government intervention during market shocks in a metropolitan city in China: an empirical analysis using data from the 2022 Shanghai COVID-19 pandemic lockdown 7Ryan Yu, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Vasileios Bougioukos2 The impact of the Russia–Ukraine conflict on supply chain disruptions in Thailand’s agricultural sector: an analysis of TVP-VAR network connectivity and price volatility prediction 58Paritta Apithanaphuwadol, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos and Vasileios Bougioukos3 Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19: a comparison between bottom-up and non-overlapping temporal aggregation 96Yilu Zheng and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos4 Forecasting the market of Airbnb 134Aarushi Jain, Minkyung Shin, Chrysovalantis Vasilakis and Nikolopoulos Konstantinos5 Strategic risk management and the new Silk Road: a post-pandemic IBV-VUCA analysis 173Huiyi Gao, Patricia David and Alexandre Dimitriadis6 When the bank is closed, cash is king … not! A qualitative longitudinal study in the payment media used in Greece during capital controls 197Konstantia Litsiou and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos 7 Strategies for pharmaceutical resilience: navigating supply chain disruptions, meeting pandemic medication demand, and introducing new pharmaceuticals in disruptive times 214 Ashwin Yadhav Kumar and Konstantinos Nikolopoulos 8 China’s healthcare reform in the post-pandemic era 268 Yuxin Li and Xiaoxian Liang 9 Digital transformation of modern China: the post-pandemic era 281 Yuxin Yu, Jieyu Zang and Heyun Zhang 10 Turning crises into opportunities: Greece’s digital transformation before and after the COVID-19 pandemic 293 Julia Brouillard, Peter Sanfey and Dimitris Sourvanos 11 Precarious work and individual deprivation during the post- COVID-19 era: lessons from Turkey 307 Canan Neşe Kınıkoğlu and Burhan Can Karahasan 12 The EU in ‘perma-crisis’: a case of resilience and assertiveness 322 Olivier Marty Index 337

‘This timely volume expertly navigates the complexities of modern forecasting, planning, and strategy in uncertain times. Through insightful analysis and diverse case studies, the authors provide essential tools and frameworks to help organisations adapt and thrive amid global disruptions. A must-read for decision-makers facing the challenges of today’s unpredictable environment.’