Forecasting and Assessing Risk of Individual Electricity Peaks

Maria Jacob completed a masters with the Mathematics of Planet Earth Centre for Doctoral training of University of Reading and Imperial College London. She is interested in using statistics and data science methods particularly within the public sector. Cláudia Neves is a Lecturer at the University of Reading. For over 10 years, her research in extreme value statistics has been informed as much as driven by a number of applications arising in hydrology (heavy rainfall) demography (supercentenarian’s lifespan), public health, and more recently, in the energy sector (e.g. electricity demand, safety issues in nuclear infrastructure). She has been awarded an EPRSC Innovation Fellowship for the project "Multivariate Max-stable Processes with Application to the Forecasting of Multiple Hazards".Danica Vukadinović Greetham is Senior Research Fellow at the Open University’s Knowledge Media Institute. Her expertise is in network analysis and optimisationwith background in mathematics (BSc, University of Belgrade) and computer science (PhD, ETHZ) and over 15 years of industrial and academic experience.  Her research interests include modelling and predicting human behaviour from big data, and mathematical modelling of low voltage networks.

• Preface.- Introduction.- Short Term Load Forecasting.- Extreme Value Theory.- Extreme Value Statistics.- Case Study.- References.- Index.