Over the last twenty or so years, it has become standard to require policy makers to base their recommendations on evidence. That is now uncontroversial to the point of triviality--of course, policy should be based on the facts. But are the methods that policy makers rely on to gather and analyze evidence the right ones? In Evidence-Based Policy, Nancy Cartwright, an eminent scholar, and Jeremy Hardie, who has had a long and successful career in both business and the economy, explain that the dominant methods which are in use now--broadly speaking, methods that imitate standard practices in medicine like randomized control trials--do not work. They fail, Cartwright and Hardie contend, because they do not enhance our ability to predict if policies will be effective.The prevailing methods fall short not just because social science, which operates within the domain of real-world politics and deals with people, differs so much from the natural science milieu of the lab. Rather, there are principled reasons why the advice for crafting and implementing policy now on offer will lead to bad results. Current guides in use tend to rank scientific methods according to the degree of trustworthiness of the evidence they produce. That is valuable in certain respects, but such approaches offer little advice about how to think about putting such evidence to use. Evidence-Based Policy focuses on showing policymakers how to effectively use evidence. It also explains what types of information are most necessary for making reliable policy, and offers lessons on how to organize that information.
Nancy Cartwright is Professor of Philosophy at UC-San Diego and London School of Economics.Jeremy Hardie is an Honorary Fellow of Keble College, Oxford and a Fellow of King's College London; he is also Vice President of the Royal Economic Society, and was Chairman of the WH Smith Group from 1992 to 2010.
Acknowledgments ; Preface: Do You Want to Read this Book? Putting our Conclusions First ; Part I: Getting Started: From 'It Worked There' to 'It Will Work Here'. ; Chapter I.A: What's in This Book and Why ; Chapter I.B: The Theory that Backs up What We Say ; Part II: Paving the Road from 'There' to 'Here' ; Chapter II.A: Support Factors: Causal Cakes and their Ingredients ; Chapter II.B: Causal Roles: Shared and Unshared ; Part III: Strategies for Finding What You Need to Know ; Chapter III.A: Where We are and Where We are Going ; Chapter III.B: Four Strategies ; Part IV: RCTs, Evidence-Ranking Schemes, and Fidelity ; Chapter IV.A: Where We are and Where We are Going ; Chapter IV.B: What are RCTs Good For? ; Chapter IV.C: Evidence-Ranking Schemes, Advice Guides, and Choosing Effective Policies ; Chapter IV.D: Fidelity ; Part V: Deliberation is not Second Best ; Chapter V.A: Where We are and Where We are Going ; Chapter V.B: Centralization and Discretion ; Part VI: Conclusion ; Appendix I: Representing Causal Processes ; Appendix II: The Munro Review ; Appendix III: CCTV and Car Theft ; Notes ; References ; Index
Cartwright and Hardie make a well-meaning and serious attempt to speak to a nonacademic audience, share their expertise, and help solve real and practical policy problems
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Nancy Cartwright, Jeremy Hardie, Eleonora Montuschi, Matthew Soleiman, Ann C. Thresher, Durham University) Cartwright, Nancy (Professor of Philosophy, Professor of Philosophy, CPNSS London School of Economics) Hardie, Jeremy (Research Associate, Research Associate, University Ca' Foscari Venice) Montuschi, Eleonora (Associate Professor, Associate Professor, San Diego) Soleiman, Matthew (PhD candidate, PhD candidate, University of California, San Diego) Thresher, Ann C. (PhD candidate, PhD candidate, University of California, Ann C Thresher
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Nancy Cartwright, Jordi Cat, Lola Fleck, Thomas E. Uebel, Nancy (London School of Economics and Political Science) Cartwright, Massachusetts) Cat, Jordi (Harvard University, Lola (London School of Economics and Political Science) Fleck, Thomas E. (London School of Economics and Political Science) Uebel
Nancy Cartwright, Jordi Cat, Lola Fleck, Thomas E. Uebel, Nancy (London School of Economics and Political Science) Cartwright, Massachusetts) Cat, Jordi (Harvard University, Lola (London School of Economics and Political Science) Fleck, Thomas E. (London School of Economics and Political Science) Uebel, Quentin Skinner
Nancy Cartwright, Jeremy Hardie, LSE and UCSD) Cartwright, Nancy (Professor of Philosophy, Professor of Philosophy, LSE) Hardie, Jeremy (, Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Sciences
Nancy Cartwright, Jeremy Hardie, Eleonora Montuschi, Matthew Soleiman, Ann C. Thresher, Durham University) Cartwright, Nancy (Professor of Philosophy, Professor of Philosophy, CPNSS London School of Economics) Hardie, Jeremy (Research Associate, Research Associate, University Ca' Foscari Venice) Montuschi, Eleonora (Associate Professor, Associate Professor, San Diego) Soleiman, Matthew (PhD candidate, PhD candidate, University of California, San Diego) Thresher, Ann C. (PhD candidate, PhD candidate, University of California, Ann C Thresher
Cartwright, John Cartwright, Stefan Vogenauer, Simon Whittaker, UK) Cartwright, John (University of Oxford, Professor Stefan (Max Planck Institute for European Legal History) Vogenauer, Simon (St John's College) Whittaker, Matthew Dyson