Escalation Management in International Crises

Edited by Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Department of Government Politics and National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START), University of Maryland and Egle E. Murauskaite, Senior Faculty Specialist, ICONS Project, National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START), University of Maryland, US

• Contents:Introduction: managing escalation in international crises 1Jonathan Wilkenfeld and Egle E. Murauskaite 1 International crises and the gray zone: tracing crises through history 17 Egle E. Murauskaite 2 Gray zone: defining the space in between 30 Allison Astorino-Courtois 3 Conceptual framework for managing international crises, 1990–2020 52 Egle E. Murauskaite and Allison Astorino-Courtois 4 One hundred years of international crises, 1918–2018 78 Jonathan Wilkenfeld and David Quinn 5 Regime, power, state capacity, and the use of violence in gray zone international crises 110 Egle E. Murauskaite, David Quinn, Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Allison Astorino-Courtois, and Corinne S. DeFrancisci 6 Escalation management in gray zone crises: the proxy factor 143 Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Egle E. Murauskaite, David Quinn, Devin H. Ellis, Allison Astorino-Courtois, and Corinne S. DeFrancisci 7 Public opinion in the gray zone 174 Catarina P. Thomson8 Modeling and analyzing gray zone scenarios for crises in the Aegean Sea and South China Sea 201 Alexander H. Levis 9 Exploring the role of U.S. information operations in gray zone crises 231 Devin H. Ellis10 Toolkit for planners and operators in gray zone crisis environments 249 Robert J. Elder and Allison Astorino-CourtoisIndex 275

‘As great power competition moves into a gray zone between peace and war, this impressive team of experts provides state-of-the-art analysis and decision-making tools on how to prevent crisis escalation in this new era. A must-read for scholars and practitioners of international security and indeed for a public concerned with contemporary trends.’