MANAS CHATTERJI is Professor of Management, Adjunct Professor of Economics, and Director of the Griffiss Program at the State University of New York in Binghamton. He has authored and edited several books on Peace Studies and related topics, including Analytical Techniques of Conflict Management, Dynamics and Conflict in Regional Structural Change, and Economic Issues of Disarmament.LINDA RENNIE FORCEY is Associate Professor of Interdisciplinary Studies and Coordinator of the Peace Studies Program at the State University of New York in Binghamton. She is the author of Mothers of Sons: Toward an Understanding of Responsibility (Praeger, 1987) and Peace: Meanings, Politics, Strategies (Praeger, 1989).

• Preface Introduction by Manas Chatterji Models of Disarmament and Conflict Analysis Use of Management and Peace Science Techniques for Conflict Management by Manas Chatterji Computing the Solution to a Conflict Situation by Means of Continuous Multicriteria Analysis by M.A.J.J. van Gastel and J.H.P. Paelinck A Comparison of Some Analytical Procedures for Nonmetric Information in Conflict Analysis by Hans J. Blommestein and Peter Nijkamp Models for Projecting Economic-Ecologic and Internation Conflict by Walter Isard A New Look at the Relationship Among Arms Races, Disarmament, and the Probability of War by Charles Anderton Internal and External Factors Affecting Military Expenditures by Carlos Seiglie The Chicken's Dilemma: American Strategic Policy and NATO by Glenn Palmer Cobb-Douglas Games of Mutual Security and Disarmament by Thomas Fogarty Third World Disarmament and Economic Development by Manas Chatterji Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in the LDCs: Reconciling Theory and Empirical Results by F. Gerard Adams, Jere R. Behrman, and Michael D. Boldin Economic Conversion Prospects and Problems of a Change from Military to Civilian Industrial Complex by Manas Chatterji Two Futures for the American Economy: The Role of Economic Conversion by Seymour Melman Reduction of Defense Expenditure and Economic Conversion by Betty Lall Public Law for Economic Conversion by Honorable Ted Weiss, Congressman from New York Trade-Offs Between Military and Civilian Programs in Warsaw Pact Countries by Miroslaw Gronicki and Lawrence R. Klein Perestroika in the U.S.S.R. and the Prospects for Disarmament by Mikhail Babichev A Conceptual Framework for the Study of Arms Production in the Third World by Arun P. Elhance Some Comparative Dynamics of Economic Conversion by Kieran P. Donaghy The Two Cultures of Peace Research and the Case for Economic Conversion by Linda Rennie Forcey Management of Peace Parallel Ways of Integrating the World by Jan Tinbergen Economists and the Development of Peace by Dietrich Fischer and Robert Schwartz Soviet "New Thinking" and the Prospects for a New East-West Relationship by Michael Intriligator Convergence: A New Look at U.S.-U.S.S.R. Relations by Leonard Starobin The Scope and Limits of International Cooperation for World Peace: A Lesson from International Economic Policy Coordination by Akira Hattori Strategic Trade and the Incentive for Cooperation by Solomon W. Polachek and Judith A. McDonald Notes on a Third Paradigm: Well-Formed Event Texts as a Data Model of Terrorist Actions by Keith Duncan and Steven Gale Postscript: Regional Conflict in the Wake of Superpower Convergence by Manas Chatterji Bibliography Index

MANAS CHATTERJI is Professor of Management, Adjunct Professor of Economics, and Director of the Griffiss Program at the State University of New York in Binghamton. He has authored and edited several books on Peace Studies and related topics, including Analytical Techniques of Conflict Management, Dynamics and Conflict in Regional Structural Change, and Economic Issues of Disarmament.LINDA RENNIE FORCEY is Associate Professor of Interdisciplinary Studies and Coordinator of the Peace Studies Program at the State University of New York in Binghamton. She is the author of Mothers of Sons: Toward an Understanding of Responsibility (Praeger, 1987) and Peace: Meanings, Politics, Strategies (Praeger, 1989).

• Preface Introduction by Manas Chatterji Models of Disarmament and Conflict Analysis Use of Management and Peace Science Techniques for Conflict Management by Manas Chatterji Computing the Solution to a Conflict Situation by Means of Continuous Multicriteria Analysis by M.A.J.J. van Gastel and J.H.P. Paelinck A Comparison of Some Analytical Procedures for Nonmetric Information in Conflict Analysis by Hans J. Blommestein and Peter Nijkamp Models for Projecting Economic-Ecologic and Internation Conflict by Walter Isard A New Look at the Relationship Among Arms Races, Disarmament, and the Probability of War by Charles Anderton Internal and External Factors Affecting Military Expenditures by Carlos Seiglie The Chicken's Dilemma: American Strategic Policy and NATO by Glenn Palmer Cobb-Douglas Games of Mutual Security and Disarmament by Thomas Fogarty Third World Disarmament and Economic Development by Manas Chatterji Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in the LDCs: Reconciling Theory and Empirical Results by F. Gerard Adams, Jere R. Behrman, and Michael D. Boldin Economic Conversion Prospects and Problems of a Change from Military to Civilian Industrial Complex by Manas Chatterji Two Futures for the American Economy: The Role of Economic Conversion by Seymour Melman Reduction of Defense Expenditure and Economic Conversion by Betty Lall Public Law for Economic Conversion by Honorable Ted Weiss, Congressman from New York Trade-Offs Between Military and Civilian Programs in Warsaw Pact Countries by Miroslaw Gronicki and Lawrence R. Klein Perestroika in the U.S.S.R. and the Prospects for Disarmament by Mikhail Babichev A Conceptual Framework for the Study of Arms Production in the Third World by Arun P. Elhance Some Comparative Dynamics of Economic Conversion by Kieran P. Donaghy The Two Cultures of Peace Research and the Case for Economic Conversion by Linda Rennie Forcey Management of Peace Parallel Ways of Integrating the World by Jan Tinbergen Economists and the Development of Peace by Dietrich Fischer and Robert Schwartz Soviet "New Thinking" and the Prospects for a New East-West Relationship by Michael Intriligator Convergence: A New Look at U.S.-U.S.S.R. Relations by Leonard Starobin The Scope and Limits of International Cooperation for World Peace: A Lesson from International Economic Policy Coordination by Akira Hattori Strategic Trade and the Incentive for Cooperation by Solomon W. Polachek and Judith A. McDonald Notes on a Third Paradigm: Well-Formed Event Texts as a Data Model of Terrorist Actions by Keith Duncan and Steven Gale Postscript: Regional Conflict in the Wake of Superpower Convergence by Manas Chatterji Bibliography Index

MANAS CHATTERJI is Professor of Management, Adjunct Professor of Economics, and Director of the Griffiss Program at the State University of New York in Binghamton. He has authored and edited several books on Peace Studies and related topics, including Analytical Techniques of Conflict Management, Dynamics and Conflict in Regional Structural Change, and Economic Issues of Disarmament.LINDA RENNIE FORCEY is Associate Professor of Interdisciplinary Studies and Coordinator of the Peace Studies Program at the State University of New York in Binghamton. She is the author of Mothers of Sons: Toward an Understanding of Responsibility (Praeger, 1987) and Peace: Meanings, Politics, Strategies (Praeger, 1989).

• Preface Introduction by Manas Chatterji Models of Disarmament and Conflict Analysis Use of Management and Peace Science Techniques for Conflict Management by Manas Chatterji Computing the Solution to a Conflict Situation by Means of Continuous Multicriteria Analysis by M.A.J.J. van Gastel and J.H.P. Paelinck A Comparison of Some Analytical Procedures for Nonmetric Information in Conflict Analysis by Hans J. Blommestein and Peter Nijkamp Models for Projecting Economic-Ecologic and Internation Conflict by Walter Isard A New Look at the Relationship Among Arms Races, Disarmament, and the Probability of War by Charles Anderton Internal and External Factors Affecting Military Expenditures by Carlos Seiglie The Chicken's Dilemma: American Strategic Policy and NATO by Glenn Palmer Cobb-Douglas Games of Mutual Security and Disarmament by Thomas Fogarty Third World Disarmament and Economic Development by Manas Chatterji Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in the LDCs: Reconciling Theory and Empirical Results by F. Gerard Adams, Jere R. Behrman, and Michael D. Boldin Economic Conversion Prospects and Problems of a Change from Military to Civilian Industrial Complex by Manas Chatterji Two Futures for the American Economy: The Role of Economic Conversion by Seymour Melman Reduction of Defense Expenditure and Economic Conversion by Betty Lall Public Law for Economic Conversion by Honorable Ted Weiss, Congressman from New York Trade-Offs Between Military and Civilian Programs in Warsaw Pact Countries by Miroslaw Gronicki and Lawrence R. Klein Perestroika in the U.S.S.R. and the Prospects for Disarmament by Mikhail Babichev A Conceptual Framework for the Study of Arms Production in the Third World by Arun P. Elhance Some Comparative Dynamics of Economic Conversion by Kieran P. Donaghy The Two Cultures of Peace Research and the Case for Economic Conversion by Linda Rennie Forcey Management of Peace Parallel Ways of Integrating the World by Jan Tinbergen Economists and the Development of Peace by Dietrich Fischer and Robert Schwartz Soviet "New Thinking" and the Prospects for a New East-West Relationship by Michael Intriligator Convergence: A New Look at U.S.-U.S.S.R. Relations by Leonard Starobin The Scope and Limits of International Cooperation for World Peace: A Lesson from International Economic Policy Coordination by Akira Hattori Strategic Trade and the Incentive for Cooperation by Solomon W. Polachek and Judith A. McDonald Notes on a Third Paradigm: Well-Formed Event Texts as a Data Model of Terrorist Actions by Keith Duncan and Steven Gale Postscript: Regional Conflict in the Wake of Superpower Convergence by Manas Chatterji Bibliography Index