Deterrence under Uncertainty

Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare

Häftad, Engelska, 2025

AvEdward Geist,RAND Corporation) Geist, Dr Edward (Senior Policy Researcher, Senior Policy Researcher

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For decades, films such as WarGames and The Terminator have warned that the combination of artificial intelligence and nuclear weapons might be a recipe for an apocalypse. Might these prophecies of doom become reality in coming decades?Using insights from computer science, Deterrence under Uncertainty: Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare evaluates how AI could make nuclear war winnable, and whether that possibility is likely. Detailed chapters explain how the landscape of nuclear deterrence is changing and debunks the myths of machine intelligence and nuclear weapons. This book gives a practitioner's perspective on how artificial intelligence (AI) and other emerging technologies could change the role of nuclear weapons in international relations.

Produktinformation

Utgivningsdatum2025-08-28
Mått158 x 236 x 16 mm
Vikt487 g
FormatHäftad
SpråkEngelska
Antal sidor288
FörlagOUP OXFORD
ISBN9780198976127

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Artificiell intelligens inom Data och IT
Människa – datorinteraktion inom Data och IT
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Edward Geist is a Senior Policy Researcher at the RAND Corporation, where his research interests include Russia (primarily defense policy), civil defense, artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and particularly the potential impact of emerging technologies on nuclear strategy. He is the author of Armageddon Insurance: Civil Defense in the United States and Soviet Union, 1945-1991 (University of North Carolina Press, 2019).

Introduction: Artificial Intelligence and the Nuclear DilemmaThe Emerging Strategic EnvironmentFrom Celluloid Nightmares to Silicon RealitiesNo Place to Hide?Recipe for a WOPRFog-of-War MachinesStrategic Stability in a Deception-Dominant WorldConclusion: A Case for (Tempered) OptimismAppendix A: The Mathematics of TrackingAppendix B: A Bayesian Perspective on Camouflage, Concealment, and DeceptionAppendix C: A Rudimentary Model of Ontological ConfrontationIndex

Some books are erudite and learned. Some books are entertaining and even funny. Some books offer a whole different perspective on a topic. Some books teach interesting things. Some books are well written. Deterrence Under Uncertainty by Edward Geist is exemplary in each of these categories. It is essential reading for a world awash with conversations about the revolutionary impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on armed conflict.