Debating the Lewis Turning Point in China

HUANG Yiping is Professor of Economics at the China Center for Economic Research, National School of Development, Peking University, China. He is also an adjunct professor at the Australian National University and a member of the China Finance 40 Forum. His current research focuses on macroeconomic policy, international finance and rural development.CAI Fang is Director, Professor and Fellow at the Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China. He serves as Vice Chairman of the China Population Association. His current research focuses on China’s labor migration, population and development, economic reform, income distribution and poverty.

• 1. Demographic transition, demographic dividend, and Lewis turning point in China Fang Cai 2. Discussions on potential bias and implications of Lewis turning point Yang Du and Wang Meiyan 3. The rise of labor cost and the fall of labor input: Has China reached Lewis turning point? Wang Meiyan 4. Has China passed the Lewis turning point? A structural estimation based on provincial data Yang Yao and Ke Zhang 5. The Lewis turning point of Chinese economy: Comparison with Japanese experience Ryoshin Minami and Xinxin Ma 6. Macro-economic implications of the turning point Ross Garnaut 7. What does the Lewis turning point mean for China? A computable general equilibrium analysis Yiping Huang and Tingsong Jiang 8. Will Chinese growth slow after the Lewis turning point? Ligang Song and Yongsheng Zhang