Cross-Impact Balances (CIB) for Scenario Analysis

Dr. Wolfgang Weimer-Jehle is head of the CIB-Lab at the Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies (ZIRIUS) at the University of Stuttgart, Germany. He has been researching and lecturing in the field of scenario methodology for more than 25 years and is the originator of the Cross-Impact Balances (CIB) method, which is meanwhile an internationally established and widely used method for the creation of qualitative scenarios on energy, water, health, and other areas. Dr. Weimer-Jehle has developed the ScenarioWizard software, which is today the standard tool for applying the CIB method.

• 1 Introduction.- 2 The Application Field of CIB.- 3 Foundations of CIB.- 4 Analyzing Scenario Portfolios.- 5 What if… Challenges in CIB practice.- 6 Data in CIB.- 7 CIB at Work.- 8 Reflections on CIB