Climate Adaptation Futures

Jean Palutikof is the Director of the National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF) where she has built a national program of adaptation research, communication and partnerships. Prior to joining NCCARF she managed the production of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report for Working Group II (Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability). Her research interests focus on climate change impacts, and the application of climatic data to economic and planning issues. Mark Stafford Smith is Science Director of CSIRO’s Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship, where he oversees the science in a highly interdisciplinary program of research on many aspects of adapting to climate change. His disciplinary background is in drylands systems ecology, management and policy. Andrew Ash is the director of CSIRO’s Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship, overseeing a nationwide portfolio of research projects, partnerships and collaborations. He works closely with government agencies, businesses and communities on the need to adapt to unavoidable climate change. Sarah Boulter is a Research Fellow with NCCARF where she works on synthesis and communication of adaptation research. Her research background includes studies of biodiversity and reproductive ecology of forested systems and the impacts of climate change. Daniela Guitart is a Research Assistant with NCCARF. She has conducted research on climate change adaptation measures for terrestrial biodiversity, and on community gardens including their contribution to food security and agro-biodiversity conservation. Martin Parry is a visiting Professor at The Centre for Environmental Policy and visiting Research Fellow at The Grantham Institute, Imperial College London. Previously he was Co-Chair of Working Group II (Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability), of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and has held several Professorial positions at University of East Anglia, University College London, the University of Oxford and the University of Birmingham.  Marie Waschka is the former Knowledge Communication Manager with NCCARF and in this role established a range of mechanisms to promote and enable the exchange of information to support climate change adaptation. This included the establishment of eight Australian Adaptation Research Networks, and organisation of the Climate Adaptation Futures Conference.

• List of Contributors, viiiPreface, xiiSection 1 Introduction, 11 The past, present and future of adaptation: setting the context and naming the challenges, 3Jean Palutikof, Martin Parry, Mark Stafford Smith, Andrew J. Ash, Sarah L. Boulter and Marie Waschka2 Uncertainty/limits to adaptation/adapting to +4 °C, 31Stephen H. SchneiderSection 2 Advances in adaptation thinking, 473 Adaptation research: community, science or discipline?, 49Andrew J. Ash and Mark Stafford Smith4 Food security under a changing climate: frontiers of science or adaptation frontiers?, 56Mark Howden, Rohan A. Nelson and Steven Crimp5 Emerging dimensions of fair process for adaptation decision-making, 69W. Neil Adger6 Conversations on adaptation effectiveness, 75Robert Kay, Andy Haines, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Will Steffen and Bruce Thom7 Minimising the risk of maladaptation: a framework for analysis, 87Jon Barnett and Saffron J. O’NeillSection 3 Enabling frameworks and policy for adaptation, 958 How much adaptation: are existing policy and institutions enough?, 97Stephen Dovers9 Bridging the science–policy interface: informing climate governance in the USA, 103Diana M. Liverman10 Wise adaptation to climate change: the view from Japan, 111Nobuo Mimura11 Scenarios for picturing a future adapted to +4 °C, 119Mark Stafford Smith12 Creating legislative frameworks for adaptation, 126Jan McDonald13 Natural hazards and insurance, 133Sandra SchusterSection 4 Engaging with stakeholders, 14114 Communication of information for adaptation, 143Marie Waschka and Simon TorokCase Study 1 Designer guidance: climate change information for New Zealand decision-makers, 149Julie KnaufCase Study 2 Evidence based media: a communication approach for effective climate adaptation, 155Sabrina McCormickCase Study 3 Indigenous people and climate change adaptation: engagement through tailored communication, research and monitoring, 158Emma L. Woodward15 Fostering community acceptance of managed retreat in New Zealand, 161Anna Vandenbeld and Janet MacDonald16 Community engagement to resolve climate adaptation conflicts: utilising consensus-building, joint fact-finding strategies and cognitive frames analysis, 167Julian Prior17 Shared learning on adapting to climate change in south-east British Columbia, Canada, 177Stewart Cohen, Michelle Laurie, Ingrid Liepa, Trevor Murdock, Cindy Pearce, Ellen Pond, Olaf Schroth and Jeff Zukiwsky18 Cultural dimensions of climate change adaptation: Indigenous knowledge and future adaptive management in East Kimberley, Australia, 190Sonia Leonard and Meg ParsonsSection 5 Key challenges in adaptation and development, 20119 Adaptation, development and the community, 203Jessica Ayers and Saleemul Huq20 Climate change and sustainable development in Botswana: towards a framework for adaptation, 215Opha Pauline Dube21 The challenge of adaptation that meets the needs of low-income urban dwellers, 227David Dodman22 Migration doesn’t have to be a failure to adapt: an escape from environmental determinism, 235François Gemenne23 Climate change adaptation pathways: insights from case studies in South Africa, Canada and the Pacific Islands, 242Florence Crick, Johanna Wandel, Nic Maclellan and Katharine VincentSection 6 Natural systems and agricultural production, 25524 Ecosystem impacts and adaptation, 257Alistair J. Hobday and Guy F. Midgley25 Nature’s technology: an ecosystem-based approach to adaptation, 267Caroline CowanCase Study 4 Adaptation strategies of coffee producers in Coatepec, Veracruz, Mexico to climate variability and change, 275Cecilia Conde, Alejandro Monterroso, Guillermo Rosales and María Pérez Martín26 Adaptation measures to climate change in the Mongolian livestock sector, 279Batimaa Punsalmaa, Bolormaa Buyndalai and Batnasan NyamsurenSection 7 Water security, 28527 Addressing water security in China: screening for climate impacts and adaptation responses, 287Jun Xia, Thomas Tanner and Ian Holman28 Drought proofing rural economies in semi-arid regions: lessons from north-east Brazil, 294Antonio Rocha Magalhães29 Changing monsoon pattern and its impact on water resources in Himalaya: responses and adaptation, 301Prakash Chandra Tiwari and Bhagwati JoshiSection 8 Urban infrastructure and livelihoods, 30930 Adapting to climate change in cities, 311Shagun Mehrotra, Joann Carmin, Adam Fenech, Hartmut Fünfgeld, Yadh Labane, Jun Li, Rob Roggema, Frank Thomalla and Cynthia Rosenzweig31 A Bayesian network approach to investigating climate change and commodity price change impacts on human well-being: a case study of employment from Queensland, Australia, 322Tim Lynam, Jenny Langridge, Art Langston and Yiheyis MaruCase Study 5 Adaptation responses to agricultural change and increasing salinisation in the Mekong Delta, Việt Nam, 332Olivia DunCase Study 6 Adaptation to climate change impacts on buildings and infrastructure: electricity infrastructure, 338Jenny Riesz and Joel GilmoreCase Study 7 Adaptation to climate change impacts on buildings and infrastructure: building energy efficiency and mitigation effectiveness, 346Xiaoming Wang, Dong Chen and Zhengen RenSection 9 Extremes, disaster management and adaptation, 35132 Extreme event risk and climate change adaptation: improving the knowledge base and building capacity, 353Martine Woolf, John Schneider and Martyn Hazelwood33 Linking disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation: a good practice project in Jakarta, Indonesia, 362Febi Dwirahmadi, Shannon Rutherford, Wayne Ulrich and Cordia ChuIndex, 371Colour plates section between page 180 and 181

“Adaptation research and its application is a matter and a book for scientists, students, policy makers at all levels, communities, and people from a wide array of societal sectors (agriculture, tourism, industry, banks, insurance companies, to list only a few examples).  Moreover, it appeals to adaptation practitioners of NGOs, aid agencies, and the environmental consultancy sector.”  (Latin American J. Management for Sustainable Development, 1 October 2014)“No doubt, the book succeeds in providing an excellent overview of the most relevant core issues on adaptation. . . Moreover, it appeals to adaptation practitioners of NGOs, aid agencies, and the environmental consultancy sector.”  (Int. J. Environment and Pollution, 1 November 2014)“In sum, the book admirably exposes and debates key issues in climate change adaptation, delivers an overview from the leading edge of adaptation science and is a valuable addition to a diverse and expanding literature.”  (New Zealand Geographer, 1 April 2014)