Afghanistan: to 2015 and Beyond

Toby Dodge is Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East, IISS; and Reader inInternational Relations, department of International Relations, London School ofEconomics and Political Science.Nicholas Redman is Senior Fellow for Geopolitical Risk and Economic Security, IISS.

• Introduction Chapter One The road to Lisbon Chapter Two US policy and Afghanistan Chapter Three Domestic politics and state-building Chapter Four The economy, the budget and narcotics Chapter Five The ANSF and the insurgency Chapter Six The international and regional terror threat Chapter Seven Pakistan Chapter Eight Iran Chapter Nine The Central Asian states and Russia Chapter Ten China Chapter Eleven India Chapter Twelve Saudi Arabia Conclusion

"This penetrating analysis, succinctly written with a total grasp of the complexity of the problems, provides the most forward-looking analysis available anywhere. Addressing Afghanistan’s ties to Pakistan, India, Iran and Central Asia, it shows how the region will affect Afghanistan’s future and how Afghanistan will affect the region."- Ahmed Rashid, author of Taliban and Descent into Chaos: The United States and the Failure of Nation Building in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central Asia"An invaluable work of sober, informed analysis. Each chapter lays out the facts without bias, guiding the reader through the enormous complexity of Afghanistan past and present. Most importantly, the regional dynamic receives thorough treatment."- Jason Burke, author of Al-Qaeda: the True Story of Radical Islam and The 9/11 Wars, and South Asia correspondent for the Guardian and the Observer"For those of us who care about the importance of Afghanistan and worry about its future and thus for our own safety, this book makes fascinating and essential reading. It illuminates the issues with great thoroughness and, against the prevailing gloom, dares to make the case for conditional optimism."- Lord Robertson, former Secretary-General of NATO and former UK Secretary of Defence