JENNIFER D.P. MORONEY is an Associate at Defense Forecasts Inc. (DFI) International in Washington, D.C., an Adjunct Professor at The George Washington University, and has been a NATO Research Fellow since 1999.TARAS KUZIO is a Research Associate with the Center for International Security Studies, York University, Toronto.MIKHAIL A. MOLCHANOV is Associate Professor of Political Science at St. Thomas University in Fredericton, New Brunswick, Canada. _