Taiwan and Cross-Strait Relations in an Era of Great Power Rivalry

Dongtao Qi is Senior Research Fellow at the East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore. He received his PhD in Sociology from Stanford University and conducts research in the field of political sociology, especially on state-society relations and nationalism in Taiwan and mainland China.

• Introduction: Three Perspectives on Taiwan’s Politics, China’s Taiwan Policy, and U.S.–China–Taiwan Relations PART I TAIWAN’S MOVEMENT GOVERNMENT AND MOVEMENT SOCIETY SINCE 2016 CHAPTER 1 The 2016 Electoral Earthquake: Economic Discontent, Youth Resistance, and Taiwan’s Political Realignment CHAPTER 2 Between Domestic Support and Beijing’s Suspicion: Tsai’s Opening Signals in Cross-Strait Relations CHAPTER 3 Navigating the Middle Line: The Tsai Administration’s Early China Policy under Movement Government Constraints CHAPTER 4 Movement Government and Movement Society: The Tsai Administration’s Tumultuous First Year CHAPTER 5 Declining Nationalism and Rising Independents: Shifting Public Opinion during 2016-2018 CHAPTER 6 The 2018 Local Elections: The Movement Government’s Failed Midterm in A Divided Movement Society CHAPTER 7 The 2020 Re-Election: Adaptability, Security Politics, and the DPP’s Resurgence CHAPTER 8 Taiwan’s Cabinet Instability under Semi-Presidentialism: Patterns, Causes, and Political Consequences CHAPTER 9 From COVID-19 to Political Consolidation of the DPP: Taiwan’s Domestic Politics in 2021 CHAPTER 10 Rising Tensions, Expanding Partnerships: Taiwan’s External Relations in 2021 CHAPTER 11 Geopolitical Spillovers: China, Taiwan, and the United States after the Ukraine Crisis CHAPTER 12 From Pro-Independence Stalwart to Pragmatic Successor: William Lai Ching-te’s Presidential Candidacy CHAPTER 13 The 2024 Presidential Election: Taiwan’s Shifting Political Landscape amid Great Power Rivalry CHAPTER 14 Ko Wen-je and the TPP: Social Base, Alliances, and Legislative Influence CHAPTER 15 The Lai Administration’s Early Governance under Pressure: Domestic Gains and Cross-Strait Caution CHAPTER 16 Navigating Minority Governance: Lai Ching-te’s First Year Challenges and Achievements PART II CHINA’S TAIWAN POLICY AND THE US-CHINA-TAIWAN TRIANGULAR RELATIONS SINCE 2016 CHAPTER 17 From Netizen Militancy to Policy Pragmatism: China’s Mixed Signals toward the Tsai Administration CHAPTER 18 Reactive and Proactive Dimensions of China’s Taiwan Policy: Achievements and Constraints CHAPTER 19 Wooing the Taiwanese Public: Beijing’s Unilateral Initiatives and Taipei’s Countermeasures CHAPTER 20 Political Confrontation and Social-Economic Integration: Cross-Strait Relations in 2017 CHAPTER 21 Who Supports Armed Unification with Taiwan? Evidence from Urban China CHAPTER 22 The 2022 White Paper on the Taiwan Question: Rhetoric, Policy Adjustments, and Strategic Signaling under Xi Jinping CHAPTER 23 Clearer Goals, Evolving Bottom Lines: Strategic Ambiguity in China–US Competition over Taiwan and the South China Sea Appendices