Russian Energy Policy and Military Power

Pavel Baev is a Research Professor at the International Peace Research Institute, Oslo (PRIO).

• Introduction 1. Three Backgrounds 1.1 The Military Reform that Never Happened 1.2 The Energy Dividend that was too Low – and has Become too High 1.3 The Dream of a New ‘Greatness’ that has Come Truly False 2. Deadlocked Energy-Security Dilemmas 2.1 The Trickle of the Oil Money for the Military 2.2 Counter-Terrorism and the Caspian Oil Games 2.3 Alliance-Building with Virtual Commitments and Energy Power 3. Military Muscle as the Ultimate Proof of ‘Greatness’ 3.1 Virtually Extended Nuclear Deterrence of the ‘Great Power’ 3.2 The Army and Power-Projecting in the New ‘Empire’ 3.3 Internal Order and Security in the ‘Civilization’ 4. Energy Power and the Quest for ‘Greatness' 4.1 Applying the Gas Lever for Qualifying as a ‘Great Power’ 4.2 Reconstituting the ‘Empire’ as an Oil-and-Gas Cartel 4.3 Hydrocarbon Foundation for the ‘Civilization.’ Conclusion