Since the mid-1990s, the perspective on Belarus that Western authors have been guided by has been the promotion of democracy and the perceived necessity to fight the authoritarian regime. However, repeated failure in this area has called attention to the inadequacy of the research informing this approach. This book considers the fundamental issue of handling society pervaded by a schism or fundamental disunion in terms of values and geopolitical issues. Belarus in the Time of Crisis considers the societal split between the pro-Russian and pro-Western Belarusians, the relationships between these two segments of society, and the Belarusian political regime to be the internal factors of political change in Belarus. In contrast, the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and the Western sanctions imposed on Belarus are the external factors. As a relatively small country squeezed between the two centers of power, Russia and the European Union, Belarus has always stood out for the exceptional role of external influences on all aspects of its existence.
Andrei V. Korobkov is professor of political science and international relations at Middle Tennessee State University.Grigory V. Ioffe is professor of geography at Radford University.
IntroductionChapter 1. The Instability of Belarus: Sources and ProspectsOleg ManaevChapter 2. West or East: A False ChoicePavel MatsukevichChapter 3. The two dimensions of the political space in Belarus: The attitude to power and the interest in politicsYury DrakakhrustChapter 4. Debating Vladimir Makei’s LegacyGrigory IoffeChapter 5. From Civic to ‘National’: Re-Nationalizing Post-2020 Belarusian Political ActivismElena GapovaChapter 6. The Social Upheaval, War, and the Elite Migration DynamicsAndrei KorobkovConclusion