Violence during war often involves upswings and downturns that have, to date, been insufficiently explained. Why does violence at a particular point in time increase in intensity and why do actors in war decrease the level of violence at other points? Duyvesteyn discusses the potential explanatory variables for escalation and de-escalation in conflicts involving states and non-state actors, such as terrorists and insurgents. Using theoretical arguments and examples from modern history, this book presents the most notable causal mechanisms or shifts in the shape of propositions that could explain the rise and decline of non-state actor violence after the start and before the termination of conflict. This study critically reflects on the conceptualisation of escalation as linear, rational and wilful, and instead presents an image of rebel escalation as accidental, messy and within a very limited range of control.
Isabelle Duyvesteyn is Professor of International Studies/Global History at the Institute of History at Leiden University. She is a member of the Scientific Advisory Board of the Netherlands Defence Academy. She sits on several editorial boards for book series and journals, and has published widely on the topics of war, peace and security in contemporary history and strategic studies.
1. Rebels and escalation; 2. Escalation and de-escalation; 3. Political opportunity and rebel violence; 4. Political will; provocation and concession; 5. Capabilities; strategy; 6. Capabilities; substitution; 7. Political will; group processes and individual considerations; 8. Legitimacy and support; 9. De-Escalation; 10. The escalation and de-escalation of rebel violence; Index.
'Leading strategy expert Isabelle Duyvesteyn has created a new framework for our understanding of the mechanisms of insurgencies and COIN. Lucidly written, this book blends and builds on political science theories and behavioural psychology, illustrated with case-study vignettes, and rounded off with valuable advice for practitioners. An admirable achievement!' Beatrice Heuser, Professor of International Relations, University of Glasgow
Jan Angstrom, Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University
Jan Angstrom, Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University
Jan Angstrom, Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University
Jan Angstrom, Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University
Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Jan Angstrom, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm
Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Jan Angstrom, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm
Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Ben de Jong, Joop Reijn, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University, the Netherlands) de Jong, Ben (University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands) Reijn, Joop (Netherlands Intelligence Studies Association (NISA), Ben De Jong
Jan Angstrom, Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University
Isabelle Duyvesteyn, Jan Angstrom, The Netherlands) Duyvesteyn, Isabelle (Leiden University, Sweden) Angstrom, Jan (Swedish National Defence College, Stockholm