Agent-based simulation of the prediction market augmented with these four elements enables an examination of the effects of these elements on the prediction market from the computational aspect and hence tests the Hayek hypothesis on the basis of diverse institutional and individual characteristics.
Ch1 Introduction and Overview.- Ch2 Friedrich Hayek and Information Aggregation.- Ch3 Testing Hayek Hypothesis: An Experimental Economic Approach .- Ch4 From Market Experiments to Prediction Markets.- Ch5 Economic Theory of Prediction Markets: A Neo-Classical Approach.- Ch6 Complexity Thinking in Economics: Agent-Based Computational Economics.- Ch7 Agent-Based Modeling of Prediction Markets.- Ch8 Spatial Agent-Based Prediction Markets: Homogeneous Agents.- Ch9 Spatial Agent-Based Prediction Markets: Heterogeneous Agents.- Ch10 Alvin Roth and Market Design.- Ch11 Can We Trust Prediction Markets? .- Ch12 Empirical Study of Prediction Market Performance.- Ch13 Roles of Smart Players in the Markets.- Ch14 Models to Predict Prediction Markets.- Ch15 Conclusions.- Appendix A Exchange of Future Events .- Appendix B NetLogo.