"Ofer Israeli, in this book, offers us an original and encompassing study of the complex effects of international relations, elucidating for readers the intended and unintended consequences of human action … Israeli offers a rich texture in the case studies he provides working through such an innovative and fresh perspective on the problem." — ID: International Dialogue"…an extraordinary and unreservedly recommended addition to community, college, university library Contemporary International Relations collections in general, and Middle Eastern Studies supplemental curriculum lists in particular." — Midwest Book Review"An international relations theory stunner. Relying on key concepts of complexity theory and based on penetrating and comprehensive case studies focusing on the international politics of the Middle East, this exceptionally conceived and researched book is one of the most ambitious studies of dynamic complex international systems since Robert Jervis's System Effects." — Emanuel Adler, author of World Ordering: A Social Theory of Cognitive Evolution"Statesmen make critical decisions amid intense pressure and daunting uncertainties. They almost always do so with incomplete information and uncertainty of outcomes. With these contingencies in mind, Ofer Israeli's new book offers a welcome and provocative treatment of the intended and unintended consequences of human actions in Middle East conflicts." — Robert J. Lieber, author of Retreat and Its Consequences: American Foreign Policy and the Problem of World Order