Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence

Richards J. Heuer, Jr., is chief of the Methods and Forecasting Division of the CIA’s Office of Regional and Political Analysis. He has had over twenty-seven years of experience with the CIA and received his M.A. in international relations from the University of Southern California.

• Other Titles of Interest -- Preface -- Adapting Academic Methods and Models to Governmental Needs -- Bayesian Analysis: Estimating the Probability of Middle East Conflict -- Cross-Impact Analysis: Forecasting the Future of Rhodesia -- Regression Analysis: Impact of Economic Conditions on Left Voting in France -- Operationalizing a Theoretical Model: Profiles of Violence in Argentina, Ethiopia, and Thailand -- Content Analysis: Measuring Support for Brezhnev -- An Events Data Base for Analysis of Transnational Terrorism -- Multidimensional Scaling of UN Voting Behavior