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Foresight has emerged as a key instrument for the development and implementation of research and innovation policy. The main focus of activity has been at the national level. Governments have sought to set priorities, to build networks between science and industry and, in some cases, to change their research system and administrative culture. Foresight has been used as a set of technical tools, or as a way to encourage more structured debate with wider participation leading to the shared understanding of long-term issues.In this comprehensive and critical Handbook, cross-cutting analytical chapters explore the emergence and positioning of foresight, common approaches and methods, organisational issues, and the scope for policy transfer and evaluation. Leading experts and practitioners contribute chapters analysing experiences in France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the USA, Japan, China, Latin America, small European nations, Nordic countries and selected developing countries. The book concludes with consideration of the future of foresight itself.This fascinating Handbook will appeal equally to those wishing to apply foresight to their policy or strategy-making activities, and to those studying the theory and practice of foresight. The Handbook will be vital reading for policymakers considering, commissioning, or using foresight, companies eager to use public foresight, as well as academics and researchers in foresight, futures and STI policy and management communities.
Edited by Luke Georghiou, Deputy President and Deputy Vice Chancellor, Alliance Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, UK, Jennifer Cassingena Harper, MCST, Malta Council for Science and Technology, Malta, Michael Keenan, PREST, Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, MBS University of Manchester, UK, Ian Miles, Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester, UK and Rafael Popper, VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd, Finland
Contents:PrefacePART I: THE NATURE OF FORESIGHT1. The Many Faces of Foresight Ian Miles, Jennifer Cassingena Harper, Luke Georghiou, Michael Keenan and Rafael Popper2. From Futures to ForesightIan Miles3. Foresight Methodology Rafael PopperPART II: FORESIGHT EXPERIENCE AROUND THE WORLD4. Foresight in the United KingdomMichael Keenan and Ian Miles5. Foresight in FranceRémi Barré6. Foresight in GermanyKerstin Cuhls7. Foresight in the USA Alan L. Porter and W. Bradford Ashton8. Foresight in JapanTerutaka Kuwahara, Kerstin Cuhls and Luke Georghiou9. Foresight in Nordic Countries Annele Eerola and Birte Holst Jørgensen10. Foresight in Smaller Countries Patrick Crehan and Jennifer Cassingena Harper11. Foresight in Industrialising Asia Ron Johnston and Chatri Sripaipan12. Foresight in Latin AmericaRafael Popper and Javier Medina13. Foresight in CEE Countries Attila Havas and Michael KeenanPART III: POLICY AND MANAGEMENT ISSUES IN FORESIGHT14. Policy Transfer and Learning Luke Georghiou and Jennifer Cassingena Harper15. Scoping and Planning Foresight Michael Keenan and Ian Miles16. Evaluation and Impact of Foresight Luke Georghiou and Michael Keenan17. New Frontiers: Emerging Foresight Ian Miles, Jennifer Cassingena Harper, Luke Georghiou, Michael Keenan and Rafael PopperIndex
'Edited by five scholars active in foresight practice, the book opens with a critical review that defines and distinguishes foresight from other types of futures studies, alongside an excellent history of the field and a detailed summary of more than 30 methodologies. . . Those considering a foresight exercise will find this book a valuable compendium that offers lessons to be learnt, and help in choosing goals, selecting methods and identifying successes and failures. Scholars will find a rich survey of current practice, methodological approaches and tensions in the field. . . The Handbook of Technology Foresight provides an important survey of current knowledge that will help governments use foresight to navigate these tumultuous times.'