Accident Precursor Analysis and Management

James R. Phimister, Vicki M. Bier, Howard C. Kunreuther, Editors, National Academy of Engineering

• 1 Front Matter; 2 Section I Committee Summary Report1 The Accident Precursors Project: Overview and Recommendations; 3 Section II Keynote Speakers2 The Opportunity of Precursors; 4 On Signals, Response, and Risk Mitigation: A Probabilistic Approach to the Detection and Analysis of Precursors; 5 Section III Risk Assessment4 Understanding Accident Precursors; 6 5 Defining and Analyzing Precursors; 7 6 Nuclear Accident Precursor Assessment: The Accident Sequence Precursor Program; 8 Section IV Risk Management7 Inherently Safer Design; 9 8 Checking for Biases in Incident Reporting; 10 9 Knowledge Management in High-Hazard Industries: Accident Precursors as Practice; 11 Section V Linking Risk Assessment and Risk Management10 Cross-Industry Applications of a Confidential Reporting Model; 12 11 Stuck on a Plateau: A Common Problem; 13 12 Ensuring Robust Military Operations and Combating Terrorism Using Accident Precursor Concepts; 14 Appendix A Letters to the Committee; 15 Appendix B Workshop Agenda; 16 Appendix C Workshop Participants; 17 Appendix D A Note on Definitions; 18 Appendix E Biographies of Authors; 19 Appendix F Biographies of Committee Members